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Showing posts with label skepticism. Show all posts

Thursday, March 1, 2012 ~ Have your say...

Beware of Bogus Dietary Supplements


Dietary supplements have been making headlines lately, and not in a good way. The issue of the healthfulness and safety of many commercial brand dietary supplements continues to crop up as study after study reveals disturbing truths about their contents. Recently the Harvard Health Blog published an article that fleshed out some of the latest discoveries in the ingredient lists of some dietary supplements. 

The article explained how some popular “dietary supplements” for erectile dysfunction contain chemicals that can cause hazardously low blood pressure when combined with certain heart medications. Some of the ingredients in these dietary supplements don’t even exist outside the world of pharmaceuticals. This is but one example of dietary supplements found to be potentially unsafe long after it’s been produced and marketed as anything but.

How can companies get away with producing these sketchy products?

The article also explains how companies can easily design and produce dietary supplements with virtually little or no initial oversight from the FDA. Unlike with conventional drugs and medicines, dietary supplements don’t go through a long and arduous vetting process to prove that they’re healthful. As long as the dietary supplements contain “established ingredients,” they can be sold without worry. If the ingredients haven’t been “established,” the company producing the dietary supplement need only propose how the ingredients should target a person’s health. In other words, a dietary supplement could be approved as potentially healthy long before hazardous side effects ever surface.

But not all dietary supplements are snake oil by another name. Some products out there legitimately exist to improve the health of their targeted customers, and their “all natural” list of ingredients is just that: all natural. But how do you distinguish the snake oil from the real deal? I have two pointers to offer in the way of advice.

1)  Be wary of quick solutions to long-term health problems

As a rule, I question the reliability of a pill marketed as a cure-all for serious health problems. For instance, I’m highly suspicious of dietary supplements that advertise as a fast an easy solution to obesity. This is partly because the particulars involved with weight loss are so complex and so specific to every individual that I have a hard time believing that one pill will work for everyone. Normally weight loss or “diet” pills are nothing more than hunger suppressants with negative side effects. But these questionable dietary supplements aren’t limited to diet pills; “natural” sleep aids, extracts that treat depression, and herbal remedies for anxiety are also to be met with caution, simply because they claim to treat such serious conditions.

2)  Watch out for aggressive ad campaigns

It might seem counterintuitive, but products with the most confidant and aggressive advertising tends to arouse the most suspicion in me. The results, not the packaging, should speak for the efficacy of a dietary supplement. If I only know about a dietary supplement because I see billboards featuring their slogan all over the city, I’ll steer clear of it. The same applies if I only know a product because of a catchy radio jingle. In the pseudo medicinal realm of dietary supplements, smart advertising does not make for a smart product.

How do you identify bogus dietary supplements?  Leave your comment below.

Author Bio:
This is a guest post by Nadia Jones who blogs at accredited online colleges about education, college, student, teacher, money saving, movie related topics. You can reach her at nadia.jones5 @ gmail.com.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012 ~ Have your say...

Be a guest blogger and write for us!

Do you want to contribute to Relatively Interesting.com?  If you would like to be a guest blogger for us, or if you have an existing article that you'd like post on our site, email us at relatively.interesting AT. gmail dot com.  


Wondering what to write about?  
Try...  Pseudoscience in general, cryptozoology (Bigfoot, Loch Ness, etc), homeopathy, anti-vaccination, conspiracy theories (Big Pharma, 9/11, etc), unproven medical treatments (snake oils), alternative medicine, myths, urban legends, rumors, UFOs, fraud, hoaxes, new age beliefs, religion, philosophy, evolution vs creationism, the scientific method, incredible images from the sciences:  physics, biology, chemistry, astronomy (to name a few), debating methods, the paranormal or supernatural… anything that you and our readers might find, well, relatively interesting.



Read our Editorial Policy to make sure your article is in-line with the site, and if it's a good fit, we'll publish it!


Send us an email at relatively.interesting AT. gmail dot com or leave a comment pointing us in the right direction.

 

Thursday, August 18, 2011 ~ Have your say...

Radio Interview on 92.1 The Beat, Tulsa, Oklahoma

I had the opportunity to join the crew over at The Beat in Tulsa, Oklahoma for a radio interview for "Conspiracy Thursday", where the hosts invite a guest to speak about various conspiracy theories.  I was really honored to be invited onto the show, since Benjamin Radford was a previous guest and I'm a huge fan of his work. 

During the interview, we talk about the Moon Landing Hoax, why people believe weird things, the face in the clouds, amazing animals, skepticism in general, and the anti-vaccination movement.  It's about 20 minutes in total.

You can download the interview HERE 


Thursday, March 31, 2011 ~ Have your say...

Why do people believe in the paranormal, pseudoscience, and other weird things?



The short answer, is that people want to believe. According to Brian Cronk, a professor of psychology at Missouri Western State University, "The human brain is always trying to determine why things happen, and when the reason is not clear, we tend to make up some pretty bizarre explanations." 

Why is this the case? "It is an artifact of our brain's desire to find cause and effect. That ability to predict the future is what makes humans 'smart', but it also has side effects like superstitions [and] belief in the paranormal." 

According to the Livescience, today, media coverage of the paranormal on the Internet, television, and radio, help to perpetuate myths and folklore. Fiction and belief often masquerade as fact and news.  And according to a 2005 Gallup poll, three-quarters of those surveyed believe in at least one paranormal phenomenon, including 41 per cent who are convinced of ESP, 32 per cent of ghosts, 31 per cent of mind reading, 26 per cent of clairvoyance and 25 per cent of astrology.

Spend some time online and you can find many other highly questionable beliefs like the idea that space aliens landed at Roswell, New Mexico, that the earth was created less than 10,000 years ago, that the Holocaust never occurred, and that 9/11 was orchestrated by the US government to incite America into war.  The list is very long.

Why do so many people believe such weird things?

Michal Shermer, founder of Skeptic Magazine, tells us that, "All humans seek patterns. That's our nature. We are also storytellers because it helps us find meaning in a chaotic world. In order to survive, we have evolved to find cause-and-effect relationships in nature, and then weave a plausible story to explain them. Our ancestors who identified the pattern linking the seasons to animal migrations ate better and left behind more offspring. But because believing that the rain gods can be appeased through rituals isn't fatal, we also have inherited magical thinking. Add to this the fact that many of these beliefs make us feel better, meet some emotional need, promise miracle cures or instant wealth, and in general appeal to our emotional brains and bypass our rational brains.” 

When someone is firmly set in their belief, then, even when presented with scientific evidence, it is very difficult to get them to let go of their beliefs. To true-believers, shady and unsupported explanations which sometimes suggest somewhat causal connections between events are more appealing than well-supported, scientific explanations which do not provide comfort to the individual.

Scientists and critical thinkers are then left with an impossible task: proving something does not exist. You can prove an object like rock is there. You can't prove that the Loch Ness Monster, UFOs, or a ghost is not there. 

So then, what are we, as pattern-seeking, cognitively biased humans, supposed to do? How do we filter out fact from fiction? Shermer gives his own version of a Baloney Detection Kit.  Use the list below to help yourself figure out if there is merit behind a claim, belief, or seemingly weird idea:

·         Is the person making this claim a qualified expert in the field, or a quack? People who are not trained in a subject can make contributions, but it is rare.
·         Does the source often make similar claims? Paranormalists and members of fringe groups have a habit of going well beyond the facts.
·         Have the claims been verified by another source? Typically pseudoscientists will make statements that are unverified, or verified by a source within their own circle. Who is checking the claim, and who is checking the checkers?
·         How does the claim fit with what we know about how the world works? When considered in this manner, get-rich quick schemes and stock-market secrets never sound so good.
·         Has anyone gone out of the way to disprove the claim, or have they only sound evidence to confirm it? This is known as confirmation bias, or the tendency to ignore negative evidence. This is why we need the methods of science, which include the attempt to prove yourself wrong.
·         Does the preponderance of evidence converge to the claimant's conclusion? The theory of evolution, for example, is proven through a convergence of evidence from a number of independent lines of inquiry. No one fossil proves anything.
·         Is the claimant employing accepted rules of reason and tools of research? UFOlogists suffer this fallacy in their continued focus on a handful of unexplained atmospheric anomalies and visual misperceptions while ignoring the fact that the vast majority of sightings are easily explained.
·         Has the claimant provided a different explanation for the observed phenomena, or is it strictly a process of denying the existing explanation? This is a classic debate strategy - criticize your opponent and never affirm what you believe in order to avoid criticism. Creationists do this to great effect. But to be legitimate, positive evidence in favor of your idea must also be presented.
·         If the claimant has offered a new explanation, does it account for as many phenomena as the old explanation? For example, skeptics who argue that lifestyle, not HIV, causes AIDS do not explain nearly as much of the data as the HIV theory does, such as the rise in AIDS among hemophiliacs shortly after HIV was inadvertently introduced into the blood supply.
·         Is there extraordinary evidence for the extraordinary claim? Evidence is key. Normal claims need normal evidence, but extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

What Michael Shermer below, as he speaks to the same points at TED.





Oh Yeah? Science isn't perfect either!
 
Browsing the JREF’s FAQ while researching the Million Dollar Challenge (proving you have parapsychological powers for a million dollars), I found a great answer to the following question:  Scientific papers have been written supporting paranormal events and talents. Therefore, how can you deny them?

Randi and his team answer the challenge with the following:  “Scientists can be wrong — sometimes, very wrong. The history of science is replete with serious errors of judgment, bad research, faked results, and simple mistakes, made by scientists in every field. The beauty of science is that it corrects itself by its own nature and design. By this means, science provides us with increasingly clearer views of how the world works. Unfortunately, though science itself is self-correcting, sometimes the scientists involved do not correct themselves. And there is not a single example of a scientific discovery in the field of parapsychology that has been independently replicated. That makes parapsychology absolutely unique in the world of science.”

Prove Yourself

For those who are so entrenched in their beliefs that they themselves believe they have special powers or abilities, it's not necessary to have the argument here. James Randi offers any believers, or purveyors of belief, to prove themselves – and he'll cut you a cheque for a million dollars.

Here are the terms:

"At JREF, we offer a one-million-dollar prize to anyone who can show, under proper observing conditions, evidence of any paranormal, supernatural, or occult power or event. The JREF does not involve itself in the testing procedure, other than helping to design the protocol and approving the conditions under which a test will take place. All tests are designed with the participation and approval of the applicant. In most cases, the applicant will be asked to perform a relatively simple preliminary test of the claim, which if successful, will be followed by the formal test. Preliminary tests are usually conducted by associates of the JREF at the site where the applicant lives. Upon success in the preliminary testing process, the "applicant" becomes a "claimant.""

So far, no one has passed the preliminary tests, even though Randii has invited some of the "premier" personalities, like Sylvia Browne, to take the test. 

Seems like a quick and easy million bucks if you’ve got “the power” – but why has nobody succeeded yet? You be the judge.

The Unfortunate Conclusion

Humans tend to believe weird things without scientific merit because we seek patterns, we seek to explain things, we are uncomfortable not understanding the world around us, and because we are stubborn.  It’s hard to change someone’s mind – try it.  It’s no easy task.  And so, it falls on our teachers and mentors to train future generations to think critically and use “baloney detection kits” when necessary.


References:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/08/22/2342385.htm

Saturday, March 19, 2011 ~ Have your say...

Science and Skepticism and Blogging - oh my!

What this blog's about...


I'm often asked how I got interested in skepticism and why I started this blog.  So, finally, I'm going dedicate a post to answer these questions.  This post will also be added to the About page.

Formally, the purpose of this blog is to promote science, skepticism, critical thought, and the beauty of the natural world.  I created that mission with four "pillars" in mind.  They are:


Science: 

Science is a powerful tool that allows us to discover truths about the natural world.  The scientific method seeks to explain what happens in nature and then makes useful predictions.  It allows us to solve problems while minimizing the effects of subjective bias.  Science is empirical and subject to falsification, which allows theories to “evolve” over time as scientists gather new information.   Science does not claim certainty; it aims to come as close to truth as possible.

Skepticism:

Skepticism can be somewhat controversial because it forces people to question beliefs that are often taken for granted by the general population.  A skeptic is not someone who simply “questions everything”, but rather, someone who tests the probability and reliability of claims by subjecting them to a systematic investigation:  the scientific method.  “De-bunking” claims is a subset of skepticism, and although important (and fun), it is only a part of the definition. 

Critical Thought:

When we are presented with information (especially from the media), we can choose to ignore it, believe it, disbelieve it, or think about it and then make a decision.  We live in an extremely fast paced world, and often there simply isn’t enough time to sit back and digest information.  And this is a problem:  critical thought is not part of our daily lives, and it needs to be.  We need to assess information and make educated decisions based on the assessment. 

The Beauty of the Natural World:

It’s important to realize that our natural world is incredible, awe-inspiring, and downright unbelievable at times.  For this reason, it’s not necessary to invoke the paranormal, cryptids, myths, legends, UFOs, Big Foot, the Loch Ness Monster (among many).  You only have to look in your backyard to be amazed by nature’s complexities.  Look at the composition of matter at or below the microscopic scale; or look at the enormous, incomprehensible size of our universe; or the dynamic array of species and life on Earth.


About This Blog, and How It Came To Be

The Early Years
I was very fortunate to have parents that encouraged me to read at an early age.  My father would read me Tarzan stories before bed, and my mother would sit with me as I read my first book, “Big Machines”.  Based on my Big Machine learnings, my mother frequently took me to a nearby construction site, where I quietly observed the steam shovels, loaders, and dump trucks do their thing.  I was amazed by their power, and could not imagine how machines so large could operated by people so small, and that, eventually, a field turned into a hole, a hole turned into a foundation, and a foundation into a building.  I was a curious and inquisitive little boy, and thankfully my parent’s encouraged me to forever ask “why?”.


Dinosaurs, Badlands, and Paleontology

At around 6 years old, I was introduced to my first book about dinosaurs.  I decided shortly thereafter that I would move to Alberta to work the Badlands as a paleontologist.  I of course didn’t, and instead stayed in my home town of Montreal and collected dozens of books about dinosaurs, and could rhyme off many of them, including whether or not they lived during the Triassic, Jurassic, or Cretaceous periods.  I couldn’t get enough of them.  I loved the idea that these creatures roamed the Earth millions of years ago.  Paleontology forced me to learn a bit about geology, which then led me to learn about weathering and erosion, climate, eco systems, biodiversity, extinction, evolution… and more. 


I Then Looked to the Skies

In my high school chemistry class, I had to do a large project and decided it would be interesting to study the life cycle of stars.  Dinosaurs and paleontology took a backseat while I soaked up astronomy – and this became my new fascination and obsession.
 

Astronomy, for me, tied the world of physics and chemistry.  After the project’s completion, I got my first telescope - a 4.5 inch Newtonian Reflector.  I hastily set it up and pointed it at the moon.  I could not believe what I saw.  Craters, shadows, ridges, valleys – the whole moon was magnified so much that it couldn’t even fit in my field of view.  I remember calling my father over and showing him – he thought I had placed a card in front of the telescope.   It was literally that unbelievable.
On clear nights, I would set the telescope up outside (we lived in the country, so I was fortunately not affected by light pollution), and point it to Saturn, Venus, and Jupiter – they were easy to find, and would blow people’s minds when they saw them.  Especially Saturn – seeing the rings by yourself (not in a picture, or on TV) is, to me, a life changing experience.  To sit and really think that you are looking at something so large and so far away is mind boggling.

Astronomy also introduced me to Carl Sagan, one of the “fathers” of skepticism.  I watched Cosmos on TV and VHS, and read the book twice.  He spoke with such passion and clarity, and in a way that non-scientists could understand.  He helped bring science to the mainstream.  When he died in 1996, I was extremely sad, and deeply touched.  I had only known of his work for a short time, but was deeply affected by his passing because I felt it was a huge loss for both the scientific community and the general public.

High school passed, and I moved on to university to study computer engineering – hoping to leverage off the .com bubble (which, with my luck, burst just before I graduated).  During that time, I read the works of Paul Davies, Stephen Hawking, more Carl Sagan, Richard Dawkins, Stephen Pinker and host of others.  I got deeper and deeper into astronomy and cosmology.  I started to question life; how it arose amongst the vast emptiness of space.  I questioned religion, and the need for a god (non-specific to any religion).  I questioned psychology, the mind, consciousness, and what that all meant. 

 
A Brave New World (With Disposable Income)

After graduation, I got a job and became a full-blown consumer with a bit of a disposable income.  It was really only at that point - when forced to make decisions about how to spend my money on things that were not school related -  that I began to question “products” and the media.  Did taking vitamins work for an average guy like me?  Would ginko-biloba improve my memory?  Should I take mega doses of Vitamin C and Echinacea when I have a cold?  Are UFO’s even plausible?  What about the Loch Ness monster (my childhood favorite)?  Is it the end of the world as we know it?  Is there any truth to Astrology?  What about the stuff I hear on television, the Internet, magazines, and radio?  Armed with Google’s search engine, I started researching


A Discovery

Browsing the magazines in Chapters – looking for the latest copy of Discover or Scientific American – I stumbled upon a magazine called “Skeptic”.  I flipped through it, and realized, “There’s a whole group of people out there just like me!”.  I devoured the magazine’s content, and then moved on to the Skeptical Enquirer.  These magazines led me to more books – Demon Haunted World and Flim-Flam, among others.  I discovered the podcast “Skepticality”, “The Skeptic’s Guide to the Universe”, Skeptoid, and devoured their content too.  I read the works of Michael Shermer, StevenNovella, Phil Plait, James Randi.  I learned about logical fallacies, how to argue and debate, and to be culturally sensitive when discussing controversial topics, and how to dissect information into understandable parts so that it can be used to make educated decisions.  I’m still learning all those things today.  I asked myself – am I a “skeptic”?  Yes, I was.  But what exactly was a skeptic?


“Skeptic” :  My Favorite Definition

I like to use Steven Novella’s definition, which is as follows:

“A skeptic is one who prefers beliefs and conclusions that are reliable and valid to ones that are comforting or convenient, and therefore rigorously and openly applies the methods of science and reason to all empirical claims, especially their own. A skeptic provisionally proportions acceptance of any claim to valid logic and a fair and thorough assessment of available evidence, and studies the pitfalls of human reason and the mechanisms of deception so as to avoid being deceived by others or themselves. Skepticism values method over any particular conclusion.”

And Now, The Point (of the Story, and of This Blog)

What’s the point of this long winded story? 
 

Had it not been for the exposure I was so luckily given – the books, the media, the telescope, the projects, the classes, the podcasts, the blogs, and the people – I would not have taken an interest in any of these fascinating areas of thought.   I would not have dived so deep into science and discovered so many awe-inspiring things.  For that reason, I created this blog – so that others may experience and enjoy what I have.  To the best of my ability, I present information related to the four pillars in the mission:  science, skepticism, critical thought, and the world’s natural beauty.  I hope to encourage others to think rationally, critically, and enjoy what science and this incredible world has to offer.

Thursday, February 24, 2011 ~ Have your say...

Conspiracy Theories: An Interview with Karl Mamer, The Conspiracy Skeptic

Conspiracy theories can sometimes be so compelling and well presented that it can be easy to be swept up in them.  Thankfully, there are people out there who are experts in dealing with the misinformation and disinformation found within them.

Allow me to introduce Karl Mamer, host of The Conspiracy Skeptic podcast, who will take us through a discussion about conspiracy theories.
  Be sure to visit Karl’s site over at http://www.yrad.com/cs/ and subscribe to his podcast on iTunes.


Tell our readers a bit about yourself… what got you interested in conspiracy theories and how did it lead to the website and podcast?

I studied some informal logic in university (basically you study all the classic logical fallacies like Straw Man, False Dichotomy, etc.). It was a lot of fun going through letters to the editors and op eds and finding logical fallacies. It was like getting a university credit for doing crossword puzzles (and given my BA was in Psychology, I spent a lot of time in classes doing crossword puzzles). This was pre-Internet days (I'm 44). By the time I got onto the Internet I started noticing all these conspiracies on the old Usenet newsgroup system. I was like "oh, they're using all the logical fallacies we used to have so much fun finding in my informal logic classes."

As well, I did my honors thesis on urban legends. It struck me that many urban legends seemed to have the function to pass on safety tips (be careful of insane killers with sharp spikes for hands). At the same time, they seemed unnecessarily cruel and horrific. Did increased horror make the legend seem more believable and hence helped propagate the core message? I didn't actually find this in my research. But when I started to encounter conspiracy theories on the net, I began to notice more parallels with urban legends.

At some point I started a site called The Conspiracy Arc-Hive that archived and categorized all the various conspiracy theories. The site died when the company that hosted the site for free died. Fast forward about 10 years and I was doing a podcast called Seoul Survivors. As the name implies, I was in Seoul and doing a podcast about thriving and surviving in Seoul. I tried to sneak in as much skeptical content as I could and my co-host Jennifer Young seemed a natural skeptic as well. After Korea I wanted to keep doing a podcast and do something that was all skeptical content. So I resurrected by interest in conspiracies.

What exactly is a conspiracy theory, and what sets them apart of normal theories?

A conspiracy theory is basically a seemingly tidy narrative that tries to explain some given set of conditions, typically conditions the conspiracy theorist doesn't particularly like: Why is there still cancer? Why do I not have the power and prestige I think I deserve? How come we've not gone back to the moon? Why is George W. Bush so darn evil?

Any good explanation, of course, starts with a narrative. "I think Rome fell because of x, y, z." As humans we can't help but try to tie together random facts into a sanity preserving narrative. But real theorists (from scientists to historians) take that extra step to marshal positive evidence for their theory. They consider evidence against their theory.

Conspiracy theorists, on the other hand, start and stop with their convenient narrative. They rarely have positive evidence. They seem content to rely on a belief that if it could have happened that way then that's good enough. It's a classic god-of-the-gaps fallacy but for conspiracies. I can't explain why this 22 year old would shoot up a school, therefore I know why: CIA mind control.

Top 3 conspiracies?  How come?

I like conspiracy theories that help me learn something. I always tell people you're not going to convince the true believers but the true believers do help question our basic assumptions. They force you to ask yourself "yeah, how do we know what we know?" How do we know we really landed on the moon? How do we know HIV causes AIDS? Is the banking system really just a big scam?

To that end, I'd say the conspiracies that I've learned the most from, hence my favorites, are:

The International Banking Conspiracy: You really got to delve a lot into finance to figure this one out.
HIV is a Myth: An interesting education in virology and what a disease actually is.
The Bilderbergs: You learn a lot about Western European post-war politics.

What’s the deal with the “New World Order”?  I hear this come up time and time again as an overarching conspiracy theory…

There's a problem with the term itself. It was used a lot in the early part of the 20th century in a manner very different than it is used conventionally today. It's a bit like how Darwin would talk about "favored races" but that would sound racist to us today. To a historian of International Relations, when politicians talked about a new world order, they were talking about a remarkable new idea where nations (mostly nations that had fought for a long time over colonies) cooperated, not competed. It had nothing to do with giving up national sovereignty.

Today, it's used by conspiracy types to mostly mean just that: nations giving up sovereign rights to some one world government. It's a catch all label that really explains nothing. Even granting someone has a plan to create a one world government, just as someone had a plan to tie together 13 colonies into a "united states", you have to ask your friendly neighborhood conspiracist what is the difference between a nation state giving up some portion of sovereignty to a super state as compared to Delaware giving up some rights to form a new super state?
To my mind, there is no difference. As long as it's the will of the voter.

Many conspiracy theories are harmless - stuff like crop circles, or the government hiding information about UFOs and aliens – but what about conspiracies like 9/11 (the Loose Change video) or the generally angry sentiment towards Big Pharma…  do you think there’s any harm in these?

I remember arguing with an HIV denialist and he claimed if HIV were real, they should be able to photograph it. I pointed out to him a photo of the virus on the wiki page. He noted the photo credit indicated the photo was from the CDC. Since the CDC was owned by the government and the government lied to us about 9/11 then they weren't above faking HIV photos. *face palm*

The problem with many conspiracy types is they're always prepared to disbelieve the official story. But sometimes the official story is true. Sometimes not believing the official story can harm you or the ones you love. Yes, sometimes Big Pharma tries to sell us (or doctors) on drugs we don't need. But probably most of the drugs they sell are safe and effective. Yes, sometimes governments lie to us. But when they tell you your milk is safe to drink or your baby car seat is safe for your child, they're likely telling the truth. Conspiracies can lead us so far down a hole of distrust, it's a wonder how some of these people leave their house in the morning.

I’ve debated with conspiracy theorists on a number of occasions, and found it to be very difficult to “win” the argument.  For example, someone will make a claim that “crop circles are made by aliens”, and I’ll point out that this has, time and time again, been proven to be a hoax.  In fact, the people often admit that they did it!  But the conspiracy theorist will argue “they’ve been told to say that – it’s all part of the conspiracy.”….   So how do you debate a conspiracy with a “true believer”?

As noted above, don't debate to win. Debate to learn. And debate to convince the fence sitters. Most of us, especially when we were younger, grew up believers in UFOs, ancient aliens, and psychic powers. As we got older most of us probably became more fence sitters. But when we saw there was another explanation, one based in verifiable fact, we got off the fence. Don't underestimate the number of people who can, online, look into your debate and see when the facts are on your side.

Do you think you’ve ever been able to change a conspiracy theorists’ mind?  Or is that pretty much impossible?

Probably not. They know they have the truth. Even if you show them the facts don't support their position, they will always be able to take shelter in the belief the facts are simply made up or new facts will eventually emerge to prove they were right. Still, have you ever argued with a friend and passionately defended your position but then mulled over the arguments later and shifted your position? Ah, maybe you can get some people to shift their beliefs over time. And don't forget, sometimes people have a growing sense they're actually wrong but argue passionately for their belief to convince themselves they're right and don't want to abandon a comfy world view. Again, time can be an ally.

Any final words for our readers?  Any shoutouts?
For your Canadian readers, Vision TV has a new conspiracy TV show. I'll be the skeptical guest on the March 18 and March 25 episodes. I might only have 2 minutes of screen time. If they use my best stuff, I like to think I got some of the conspiracy claims dead to actual facts.

As of this writing, I've only seen the first two episodes. It's better balanced than Jesse Ventura's awful awful conspiracy series. Ventura's show leaves you actually stupider. The Canadian conspiracy show is hosted by Richard Syrett. One of Syrett's producers is a skeptic, Ron Craig. His hand in the show gives me some confidence.

Like I say, I've only seen the first two episodes so far. As a skeptic, I would have naturally liked if they gave the skeptics more screen time. Or there was more of a point-counter-point aspect. Some of the believer claims really begged to be challenged. For example on the UFO show, the believer guest trotted out the claim that George Bush as head of the CIA denied a specific request by President Carter for UFO information. As any skeptic who listens to the SGU podcast knows, Jimmy Carter himself was quite clear that incident never happened. It's a fabrication of the UFO community that gets told and retold.

Beyond that quibble, Syrett and his crew seemed to do their best to get the best skeptics they could for each episode. Each skeptic went in with eyes wide open. This wasn't an Expelled type stitch up. Syrett himself hosts a Coast to Coast type radio show that delves into conspiracies and paranormal topics. Syrett has his beliefs and the Coast to Coast type are his constituency.

A new TV show that can bring in a core audience has a better chance of getting made. However, Syrett struck me as a reasonable and genuine man and just a really, really nice guy.

Anyway, it's not Penn & Teller's Bullshit!, but Syrett's Conspiracy Show certainly gives skeptics more screen time than any woo-show infesting History channel these days. If there's a Season 2, I sure hope I can weasel my way into the show on the writing, research end!

Wednesday, December 15, 2010 ~ Have your say...

Questions for Theists, God, and Religion

This is a list of questions for theists, believers, faith, God, and religion.  They apply to all religions, though you will note that they are more Christian-centric only because this is the religion I am most familiar with. 

These questions are asked with the assumption that God exists and the text in the bible is true.  If these assumptions are false, then all of the questions become irrelevant.  To attempt to answer these myself would be a formidable task, so I shall leave the answers to you, the readers...


If there is one God and one religion, what happens to the rest of the people who do not belong to that religion?  Do they go to hell?  Why should they suffer if they were raised in an area which did not expose them to the “one true religion”?  For example, there are 1.2 billion Catholics.  What happens to the 5.6 billion people who are not Catholic?  What happened to the people who died prior to the organized religion or the concept of God – default to eternal damnation?

If God is all powerful, why does he not just destroy Satan, once and for all?  Why is Satan allowed to tempt humans?  Why would God even allow the creation of Hell? 

Do only humans go to heaven?  What happens to young humans who die and go to heaven?  What happens to a baby (assuming it’s baptized) – are they in heaven as a baby, permanently?  How then, do they communicate, with the others in heaven, since they haven’t had a chance to learn anything in life, or develop their own personality?

Why does a perfect God – who is all powerful and has all knowledge – require us to praise Him by going to Sabbath?  Should it not be sufficient for people to thank/praise the God in their own way?  Why does He require praise at all?  Why do only humans need to praise Him, while other species are off the hook?

If God created the Earth and all species that populate it, then why would God wait roughly 4.5 billion years before making humans on Earth.  Worse still, why wait roughly 13.2 billion years, the age of the universe, before creating life as we know it?

If humans are special, and the Earth is the only planet with intelligent life (at least as intelligent as humans), then why go to the trouble of creating the cosmos?  Why bother creating hundreds of billions of galaxies, and thousands of billions of stars? 

 "Finally, from what we now know about the cosmos, to think that all this was created for just one species among the tens of millions of species who live on one planet circling one of a couple of hundred billion stars that are located in one galaxy among hundreds of billions of galaxies, all of which are in one universe among perhaps an infinite number of universes all nestled within a grand cosmic multiverse, is provincially insular and anthropocentrically blinkered. Which is more likely? That the universe was designed just for us, or that we see the universe as having been designed just for us? (5()"
— Michael Shermer (Why Darwin Matters: The Case Against Intelligent Design)

If the Universe came to be in two ways:  from natural processes, or from God.  Theists will say “But what was there before the Big Bang?”.  The answer?  Scientists don’t really know, yet – but they are working on it.  But atheists can ask the same question, “What was there before God created the universe?”… to which theists will reply “God always was, and always will be!”.  Well that’s not very fair now, is it?  Circular reasoning is impermissible as evidence for truth.

If the Bible (or any other religious text) is “truth” and “law” – then is it not strange that humans are accepting laws written by men, and that there are many different versions seen from different perspectives?  Which one is correct?

Why is it acceptable to join a religion that was created by a single man?  For example, King Henry created the Church of England.  How do we know if God approves this religion?  How do we know that any religion is approved?  Why is it acceptable for religions to evolve?  Various religions have changed over time due to cultural pressures – how to we know these changes are “authorized”?  (Don’t get me wrong – it’s a good thing that religions evolve)

Why is there often contempt for those who question religion?  If humans were given the gift of intelligence and the freedom of choice, why should they be punished for using it?  Why is there continuous conflict between different religions, and between those who believe, and those who don’t?  How can anyone know if they are correct? 

Why is the universe, Earth, and life so imperfect?  Why would a god create a world where there is so much... wrong?  Neil Degrasse Tyson says it best in his speech, where he describes how it seems much more likely that our univere was put together by chance, rather than by design.  

For example, in our universe, most planet orbits are unstable; less than 3% of a gas cloud actually makes a star;  most places kill life instantly via heat, radiation, or cold;  galaxy orbits brings can bring us perilously close to a supernova;, and it appears that we live in a one-way universe that will wind down to oblivion.  

On Earth, we have earthquakes, volcanoes, hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, and tsunamis that ravage cities and villages; 2/3 of the surface of the Earth is uninhabitable by humans; mass extinctions occur from  disease, climate change, or asteroids;  90% of all life that ever lived is now extinct; and it took roughly 3.5 billions years before multicellular life arose.  

In humans, diseases are common:  childhood lukemia, hemophilia, sickle cell anemia, multiple sclerosis, epilepsy, Parkinsons, ALS, birth defects;, we succumb to vision loss with age, our teeth fall out, we get Alzeimers, cancer, and a host of other age related diseases;  our energy system is inefficient - we exhale most of the Oxygen we inhale;  since we are warm-blooded, must eat constantly compared to reptiles; we are practically comatose for 1/3 of our lives while we sleep; we can't detect dangerous magnetic fields, ionizing radiation fields, Radon, CO, CH4, CO2, and a host of other poisonous materials.  A perfect design?  An intelligent design?  It sure doesn't appear to be.  It's full of mistakes.

How should one respond?

There must be some rules to answering these questions…

Rule # 1:  Any response should be refutable; otherwise we’re no further ahead.  For example, “God always was and always will be.” or “God works in mysterious ways…”  or “There’s miracles everyday…”  are not acceptable answers– because it’s impossible to prove or disprove any of them.  It’s fine to believe in unfalsifiable theories, but you must recognize that the idea is then based on faith and not science.  The two should not be confused.

Rule #2:  Legitimate evidence should be provided for any claims.  Remember, the burden of proof rests on those making extraordinary claims, and that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.

Rule #3:  When presenting a claim, avoid using any common logical fallacies.





References:



Thursday, August 26, 2010 ~ Have your say...

How To Get Involved With Skepticism


I've often wondered how I can promote science and critical thought, while advancing skepticism. This blog is a result of that question:  I wanted to "show off" the beauty of the natural world, without having to invoke the paranormal or mysticysm or any pseudoscience.  

A blog is only one of the ways to accomplish this - there are literally dozens of other ways skeptics and non-skeptics alike can become involved.  

The folks over at Skeptic.com have created a freely downloadable PDF entitled "What do I do next?", where leading skeptics in the field discuss 105 practical ways to promote science and advance skepticism.

I won't list the 105 ways here, but I highly recommend downloading and reading the document.


Wednesday, December 23, 2009 ~ Have your say...

What the heck is Skepticism?

When I tell people that I’m a Skeptic, I’m usually met with a frown, eyes rolling, or a muttered comment.

Why is this?

Well, there’s a few common misconceptions surrounding Skeptics and the Skeptical community. Some will generalize and assume that Skeptics are close minded, negative, don’t believe in anything, oppose opinions, and are just plan “not fun”. This is the furthest from the truth.

Let’s take a look at what Skepticism is and isn’t. John Jackson, author over at UK-Skeptics, lays it out on the table clearly and concisely.


Here’s what he has to say:
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ...
“Skepticism is an honest search for knowledge. It is an approach to claims akin to the scientific method. It is a powerful and positive methodology (a collection of methods of inquiry) that is used to evaluate claims and make decisions. It is used to search for the (provisional) truth in matters and to make decisions that are based on sound reasoning, logic, and evidence. Skepticism is based on a simple method: doubt and inquiry. The idea is to neither initially accept claims nor dismiss them; it’s about questioning them and testing them for validity. Only after inquiry does a skeptic take a stance on an issue.

There is more than one way to look at claims of all kinds:

Acceptance


For many reasons, people will accept claims at face value. The claims may agree with their other beliefs and so are deemed acceptable, they may have heard a claim repeated so often that they assume it must be true (e.g. we only use 10% of our brains*) or it may be something they would like to be true; that fits in with their world-view or that of their social group.This approach has the major disadvantage that claims and beliefs are not scrutinised and could well be false.



Denial

This approach is where a claim is dismissed without proper consideration because it does not fit in with a person's current understanding, belief system or world-view. No thought or scrutiny needs to be used; if the claim is not deemed acceptable for any reason, it is denied. The disadvantage to this approach is that if a claim were to be true, it would not be recognised as such.Doubt and inquiry.This method is the essence of skepticism. Claims, whether they look reasonable or extremely unlikely to be true, will be doubted; however, they will not be denied. A skeptic will then inquire to reach a justified conclusion (where possible).


The method involves:

1. Doubt

Doubt is not the same as denial. Skeptics use doubt constructively; it is a provisional stance, the suspension of judgement: a position held until a claim can be assessed. The purpose of constructive doubt is to avoid hasty conclusions such as accepting or rejecting claims without justification.

2. Inquiry

To inquire means to search for knowledge. This is the very heart of skepticism. If a claim is to be examined, evidence in support of the claim needs to be considered, but crucially, so do counter-claims and alternative explanations. Successful inquiry is the result of examining all of the evidence related to a claim and reaching a conclusion that is justifiable.

After inquiry, a skeptic will form a conclusion on an issue (should sufficient robust evidence have been available to justify one); however, this conclusion is a provisional one that may change if better or newer information comes to light. This aspect of holding a provisional position on matters gives skepticism the beneficial attribute of being self-correcting. There is no dogma with skepticism: no matter how sound a conclusion appears there is always room for it to be shown to be wrong by new evidence. The advantage of this method is that claims are scrutinised. False and misleading claims stand a much better chance of being discovered as such; and any claim, whether ordinary, paranormal, or scientific, that seems unlikely but is nonetheless true, will have a good chance of being shown to be true.


The burden of proof...


The burden of proof is the concept that it is up to those making a claim to prove it, or provide good supporting evidence for it, rather than for others to disprove it. This is the same concept as how a court of law operates. It is up to the prosecution to prove that the accused is guilty; it's not up to the defence to prove innocence.This is the approach to claims that skeptics take. A claim presented will be doubted (presumed unproved) until the evidence in support of it can be examined. If the evidence supports the claim, either completely or beyond reasonable doubt, the claim will be accepted; otherwise it will be rejected unless or until further evidence is presented.What is evidence?When talking about evidence, skeptics are referring to tangible or empirical evidence. That is, evidence that can be inspected or examined by third parties. It is the quality, or robustness, of supporting evidence that determines whether a claim is accepted or rejected. It is because of the importance of the high quality of evidence required to support claims that one of the most popular forms of general evidence, personal testimony (or anecdote), is not accepted as being satisfactory to support a claim. Psychologists have identified many cognitive errors (of reasoning, perception, memory, etc.) that we all possess which means that we can form many incorrect conclusions about things no matter how sincerely we may believe them.


Common Misconceptions:


"Skepticism is a belief system."

It’s not; it's a methodology. In fact it is quite the opposite of a belief system. Of course skeptics, people who use the skeptical method, often have opinions that are at odds with many people's beliefs; however, that does not make skepticism merely an alternative belief system.


"Skepticism is the position of non-belief."
It is very common for people to refer to themselves or others as 'skeptics' when they don't accept or believe something. This is not the correct usage of the word regarding scientific skepticism however. As explained above, skepticism is a methodology and as such, claims that are supported will be accepted by skeptics.

"Skeptics are closed-minded."
This criticism is normally made by those who believe in things that have been disproved or are unproven. Concluding that a claim is false when it fails to stand up to scrutiny is not being closed-minded - quite the opposite, in fact; and assuming or holding the provisional position that a claim is false until proven otherwise is also the correct approach to take (see Burden of Proof above). Forming conclusions based upon the best available evidence does not make one closed-minded simply because this logically-sound position disagrees with someone's belief or desire that their belief were real.

"Skeptics do not believe in anything."
This misconception probably comes from philosophical skepticism; a branch of philosophy that questions whether absolute knowledge and certainty are possible. Modern skepticism is rational or scientific skepticism; the method of doubt and inquiry explained above.Many people also make a fallacy of equivocation and confuse the word sceptical (to be doubtful) with skepticism (the methodology) and assume that skeptics are simply doubters or disbelievers.

"Skepticism is about opposing claims."
Skepticism is about examining claims, not opposing them. As explained, skeptics will doubt claims until they can be scrutinised; this, however, is the correct way to deal with new claims. There's no logical reason to accept or reject a claim before it has been examined - hence the suspension of judgement.Of course skeptics do oppose many claims, such as many involving the paranormal and pseudoscience; this is not simply an automatic opposition to such claims however, it's because such claims have been examined and the supporting evidence does not stand up to scrutiny.

"Skeptics are debunkers."
Bunk is another word for nonsense and means the opposite of something that is true or factual. To debunk something means to remove the nonsense from it and reveal what is true. Skepticism is not about debunking per se, but debunking is a consequence of critical inquiry. In fact, contrary to popular understanding, the best way of showing that something is true is that it can resist attempts to prove it false: attempting to prove something false is a robust way of testing its validity.The misconception here is not that skeptics sometimes end up debunking claims; but that the word 'debunker' is often used as a pejorative term. Debunking nonsense ideas, scams, hoaxes and misleading claims is of positive, not negative, value.It should be made clear, however, that skeptics do not set out with the purpose of debunking claims (i.e. holding a preconceived and unjustified position of a claim's falsity). Some claims will simply end up being debunked as a consequence of skeptical inquiry. That's an important distinction to understand.


Summary


Skepticism is a methodology, not a position on matters. It is a way of examining claims and making decisions. The idea is to apply the rules of logic and reason with critical thinking skills in assessing claims or issues and to form conclusions based on evidence, not on personal preference or prejudice.These methods make it more likely that those who use skepticism will reach correct conclusions on issues; which, of course, can be of great benefit in all walks of life: personal, business, health matters, recognising scams and misleading claims, finance, etc.”

This article can be found, in full, here:
http://www.ukskeptics.com/content.php/9-What-is-Skepticism
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And there you have it – I couldn’t word this better myself, so I didn’t.

The key point from the above article is that Skepticism should not be viewed as a belief system, but rather, a methodology and a means to find truth based on legitimate evidence.

So the next time you’re criticized for being a Skeptic, point them to this article.

* Author’s Note:
The “we only use 10% of the brain” myth has been thoroughly debunked. For the evidence, see http://www.snopes.com/science/stats/10percent.asp and
http://faculty.washington.edu/chudler/tenper.html

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