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Showing posts with label fraud. Show all posts

Monday, August 15, 2011 ~ Have your say...

The Moon Landing Hoax Debunked (again)










To The Moon!

American President Barack Obama’s presented to the National Academy of Sciences on April 27th, 2009.  Here is a excerpt from his speech:

“When the Soviet Union launched Sputnik a little more than a half century ago, Americans were stunned: the Russians had beaten us to space. We had a choice to make: we could accept defeat – or we could accept the challenge. And as always, we chose to accept the challenge.

President Eisenhower signed legislation to create NASA and to invest in science and math education, from grade school to graduate school. And just a few years later, a month after his address to the 1961 Annual Meeting of the National Academy of Sciences, President 

Kennedy boldly declared before a joint session of Congress that the United States would send a man to the moon and return him safely to the earth.

The scientific community rallied behind this goal and set about achieving it. And it would lead not just to those first steps on the moon, but also to giant leaps in our understanding here at home.”

One Small Step

It was on July 20th, 1969, that Apollo 11 commander Neil Armstrong stepped out of the lunar module and took the first small step on the lunar surface, but a giant leap for mankind.  NASA beamed back audio, video, and images from the historic mission.  Ask most people from that era, “Where were you when we first walked on the moon?”, and they can remember the day as if it was yesterday.  It was completely memorable, and not only a historic moment for the United States of America, but for science and all of humanity.

NASA launched six missions that would go on to land on the moon;  Apollos 11, 12, 14, 15, 16.  They studied things like soil mechanics, meteoroids, seismic measurements, heat flow, lunar ranging, magnetic fields and the solar wind.  It was the ultimate laboratory, and we learned much from those trips.  

The Conspiracy

But what if the United States didn’t land on the moon?  What if there was a conspiracy to give the illusion that they did?  What if the public was fooled into thinking that ‘1969 America’ could win the space race?  And if the government lied, what else were they lying about?  What else do they not want us to know?  What if… the moon landing was a hoax?

In February of 2001, Fox TV aired a program called “Conspiracy Theory:  Did We Land on the Moon?”.  It featured interviews with a group of people who believe that NASA faked the Apollo moon landings.  The biggest proponent of this idea was Bill Kaysing, who claimed to have evidence for the hoax:  images, engineering details, anomalies in the physics, and astronaut testimonies.  According to Kaysing, NASA did not have the technical capability of landing on the moon, but since there was so much pressure during the Cold War and space race with the Soviet Union, the USA was forced to fake the whole thing to prove that they had technological superiority.  To Kaysing and others believer in the conspiracy, it was easier to fool the public with an elaborate hoax (assumed to be filmed in Area 51, of course) rather than let their Cold War rival strike a huge moral victory by having a non-American step foot on the moon first.

Scan the Internet for “Moon Landing Hoax”, and (other than this site), you’ll find other reasons for the conspiracy, including the following, from MoonMovie.com:

"Why would Apollo fake the first manned moon mission (Apollo 8) and then continue to go back 8 more times? To answer this question, one must understand both history and the future. 

Technology is far beyond what the public is allowed to know - in some cases 35 years ahead of public knowledge.

The elite handlers of the Military Industrial Complex (MIC) needed a long term distraction from the real space program, for the purposes of covertly building the vast control mechanisms and placing them in Earth orbit.

Bart Sibrel touches on this in his first film, when he includes the real reason for space presence - military domination of the Earth from space. This is the history. Another resource for this documented movement towards worldwide tyranny is Arsenal of Hypocrisy. NASA is a multifaceted tool of the MIC, and the Global Elite who plan to implement world government. 

Apollo was in fact, a great distraction."

And so, putting the reason for the hoax aside, let us investigate why some people believe man has yet to step foot on the moon.  At the same time, we’ll put on our skeptical hats and let science debunk each of the claims.

Claims for the Conspiracy… and the Facts That Debunk Them

According to moon hoax believers, the list below provides “evidence” for the fact that the moon landing was staged in a studio.  (Editors note:  For the sake of brevity, I have chosen eleven.  If you wish to find more “evidence” and counter evidence (science), please read through the reference material at the bottom of the article.  The most comprehensive guide I have yet to find is on Phil Plait’s Bad Astronomy site).

1  When the astronauts plant the flag, you can see it flapping as though it’s in a breeze.  But there is no air or atmosphere on the moon… so how could this be?

The flag is moving because the astronauts just placed it there, and by twisting and turning the flag pole, they caused it to move.  The inertia from when they let go kept it moving,  Over time, the flag would come to rest, but the video was taken during and shortly after it was placed into the lunar surface.

2  Buzz Aldrin is seen in the shadow of the lander, but at the same time, he is clearly visible. Many shadows look strange in the Apollo pictures. Some shadows don't appear to be parallel with each other, and some objects in shadow appear well lit, hinting that light was coming from multiple sources… just like studio cameras.

There were multiple light sources:  the sun, the Earth's reflected light, light reflecting off the lunar module, the spacesuits, and also the lunar surface.

It's also important to note that the lunar surface is not flat.  If an object is in a dip (say, a small crater), you will get a different shadow compared to an object next to it that is on a level surface.  Still not convinced?  This is easily testable at with a few small props, uneven ground, and a light source.

In addition, the shadows are not parallel in the images due to perspective.  You are looking at a three-dimensional scene, projected on a two-dimensional photograph, which causes distortions. When the Sun is low and shadows are long, objects at different distance do indeed appear to cast non-parallel shadows, even here on Earth. Here’s a great example demonstrating this effect – non parallel shadows distorted by perspective. Again, this is easily testable, as the previous link demonstrates.

3  You’re on the moon and there’s no atmosphere.  So you should be able to clearly see all the stars in the sky.  But where are they?  They don’t show up in any of the photographs – it’s just a dark sky.

The moon's surface reflects sunlight, and its glare would have made stars difficult to see. Also, the astronauts photographed their lunar adventures using fast exposure settings, which would have limited incoming background light. According to Bad Astronomy, they were taking pictures at 1/150th or 1/250th of a second.  With such a short exposure, the stars simply won’t show up on film.  You can try this for yourself.  Take a picture of Jupiter or Venus (since they are highly visible from Earth) on a clear night away from light pollution.  You’ll have a hard time seeing them, if at all, and you certainly won’t see even the brightest stars.  You need a long and steady exposure for that to work.

4  The lander was huge and should have produced a giant crater when it touched the surface.  But the module is shown sitting on relatively flat, undisturbed soil.

"Science fiction movies depict this big jet of fire coming out as [spacecraft] land, but that's not how they did it on the moon.".  In reality, the lander's engines were throttled back prior to landing, and it did not hover long enough to form a crater or disturb much dust.
5  The radiation in the van Allen Belts and in deep space would have killed the astronauts in minutes.

Kaysing's exact words, when quoted on this claim, were, ``Any human being traveling through the van Allen belt would have been rendered either extremely ill or actually killed by the radiation within a short time thereof.''

The van Allen belts are regions above the Earth's surface where the Earth's magnetic field has trapped particles of the solar wind. An unprotected human would get a lethal dose of radiation, but only if he stayed there long enough. But according to Phil Plait, the spaceship traveled through the belts very quickly, getting through them in about an hour. There wasn't enough time to get a lethal dose.  Additionally, the metal hull of the spaceship blocked most of the radiation.

6  The pictures taken from the Moon were exposed and set.  Just about every picture the public sees is near perfect, with the scene always centered perfectly. However, the cameras were mounted on the front of the astronauts' spacesuit, and there was no finder. They couldn't have taken perfect pictures every time!

Nobody claims they did. Thousands of pictures were taken on the Moon, and the ones we all see will tend to be the best ones. If Buzz Aldrin accidentally took a picture with Neil Armstrong partly out of the frame, you probably won't see that image in a magazine.

Further to that, Phil Plait notes that everything done on the Moon was practiced endlessly by the astronauts. Those working on the mission knew that these pictures would be some of the most important images ever taken, so they would have taken particular care in making sure the astronauts could do it with their eyes shut. When fabled astronaut Story Musgrave replaced a camera on board the Hubble Space Telescope in 1993, someone commented that he made it look easy. "Sure," he replied, "I had practiced it thousands of times!"

7  The astronauts' footprints are too clear for being made on a dry surface. Those footprints could only have been made in wet sand.

Plait, an astronomer and skeptic, deals with this claim nicely:  Moon dust, or regolith, is "like a finely ground powder. When you look at it under a microscope, it almost looks like volcanic ash. So when you step on it, it can compress very easily into the shape of a boot." And those shapes could stay pristine for a long while thanks to the airless vacuum on the moon.

8  We are led to believe that only two astronauts walked on the moon at a time, yet in photographs such as the one below, where both are visible, there is no sign of a camera. So who took the picture?

According to Phil Plait, the cameras were mounted to the astronauts' chests.  In the picture above, Plait notes, "you can see [Neil's] arms are sort of at his chest. That's where the camera is. He wasn't holding it up to his visor."

9  There are many strange reflections in the photos.  They could only have come from studio lights on a production set.

If NASA spent millions of dollars on a hoax, do you think they would make such an obvious mistake?  The reflections are lens flares.  The pentagonal flare seen in some photos is of the aperture of the camera. 


10  After the “landing”, artifacts from the trip were supposedly left behind:  part of the Eagle, the U.S. flag, and several other instruments and mementos.  With instruments like the Hubble Space Telescope capable of peering into the distant of the universe, surely scientists should be able to see the various objects still on the moon. But no such pictures of these objects exist.

There isn’t a single telescope on Earth or in space that has a resolution powerful enough to see these objects. In fact, astronomers can calculate this:  given the biggest telescope on Earth, the smallest thing you can see on the surface of moon is something bigger than a house.

11 There’s secret outtake footage from the old Moontruth website that shows a bumble when they were staging the landing.  You can clearly see it was a production set.

That’s because it was a production set.  You can watch it yourself:



Moontruth.com eventually came out as a parody, publishing a disclaimer stating that the clip was a fake. This doesn't stop people from believing that it still supports the hoax, however. In fact, in true conspiracy theorist fashion, the admission that it was a fake video is seen as “part of the conspiracy”, or “what they want you to think”.

From NASA, With Love

After the show on Fox aired, NASA felt compelled to respond.  On their web page, they present the most compelling piece of evidence as proof of the moon landings.  Actually, they present 841 pounds of evidence in the form of moon rock.  Moon rocks are absolutely unique, and there’s no process on Earth that could simulate their creation.  That is, they can only be created on the moon itself.  To learn how they differ from Earth rocks, and how their creation is different, visit NASA’s rebuttal on their site.

Dr. David McKay, Chief Scientist for Planetary Science and Exploration at NASA's Johnson Space Center (JSC) is quoted:  "I have here in my office a 10-foot high stack of scientific books full of papers about the Apollo Moon rocks.  Researchers in thousands of labs have examined Apollo Moon samples -- not a single paper challenges their origin! And these aren't all NASA employees, either. We've loaned samples to scientists in dozens of countries [who have no reason to cooperate in any hoax]."

Even Dr. Robert Park, Director of the Washington office of the American Physical Society and a noted critic of NASA's human space flight program, agrees that humans have indeed landed on the moon. He was quoted by NASA in saying, "The body of physical evidence that humans did walk on the Moon is simply overwhelming."

Conclusion 

Conspiracy theories like the Moon Landing Hoax can be debunked, torn apart, shredded, and thoroughly disproved with hard science every day, but that usually won’t make a difference to true believers.  The Mythbusters, a television show on the Discovery network, dedicated an episode to the Moon Landing Hoax and tackled several parts of the myth.  Like me, the cast members held no illusions that they would be able to sway the diehard moon hoax believer to the “other side”.

"The thing that I've found over the years is that there is always a certain segment of people out there who will refuse to believe despite overwhelming evidence. Those diehards will never be convinced, while everyone else will have fun watching us take on the hoax," said cast member Imahara.

Savage and Hyneman said they found similarities between the hoax and the other myths they have tested.  "There seems to be a common tendency among conspiracy theorists, as well as among a lot of people with entrenched belief systems, to get stuck on an idea and never give up. 

Conspiracy theories are not really a special category -- maybe you can call them myths, but I look at them as an obsession that people want to maintain, like being abducted by aliens, Bigfoot and so on. You can't really expect that reasonable evidence will change anyone's mind if they are determined," observed Hyneman.

And so, we fight the good fight with science, reason, and rationality – chipping away at conspiracy theories like the Moon Landing Hoax with the hope that at least some hoax believers, when presented with the evidence, will let go of their belief and choose to accept the facts.




References:

Interview with Bill Kaysing:  (Editors note:  I left out Kaysing's claim that NASA murdered three astronauts via the Apollo 1 fire because they were afraid the hoax would be exposed.  You can read more about this accusation in the interview, and on Phil Plait's Bad Astronomy article).
NASA’s response:
The ultimate debunk of the Moon Landing Hoax:
Images:
Other:




Sunday, January 30, 2011 ~ Have your say...

Pyramid Schemes Explained (And Why They Are A Scam)

Pyramid Schemes: An Impossible Way to Make Money

At some point in your life, you were probably approached by a friend or acquaintance who just discovered an incredible investment or business opportunity, and said that you, yes you, could join him and reap the benefits. All you have to do is pay your buddy $100, and then get 6 other people to do the same for you – for a cool $500 return on your investment! You would tell your recruits to do the same thing – to each recruit 6 more people. And on and on it would go. At this point, your skeptical senses should be tingling and you should ask yourself, "This sounds too good to be true. Could it be a pyramid scheme?"

I'm often asked for a "practical" use of skepticism and critical thought. Well, here's a great example where skepticism can save you money and time. Pyramid schemes are a scam, plain and simple. Worried that your investment opportunity is a pyramid scheme? Read on, my friend.

What is a pyramid scheme?

There are two kinds of pyramid schemes: naked, and product based. A pyramid scheme works well for only a very small number of people at the top of the pyramid. The main characteristic of a pyramid scheme is that is that people only make money by recruiting other members. The number of people involved in the scheme grows geometrically, so that the base of the pyramid becomes very wide, very quickly.

In a naked pyramid scheme, there isn't even a product. The formula for "success" is as follows:
  • One person recruits 6 other people to participate in the "wonderful opportunity"
  • The 6 new recruits each pay the recruiter $100
  • The recruiter now tells them to recruit 6 more people and do the same
  • So if each recruit gets someone new, they will each end up with $500 from a very cool $100 investment.
So what's the problem? Pyramid schemes become unsustainable very quickly.

For example, assume the 6 new recruits each find 6 more people to make their $500. Now these newer recruits will need to find 216 people so they can each make their $500. Assume again, for the sake of argument, that these 216 newest recruits are successful. They have to find 1,296 people just so they can each make their $500.  At this point, you're at the size of a small town, and at the next level, 7,776 people are needed. Pretty quickly, you run out of people to find as new recruits, and the pyramid collapses since everyone at the bottom has lost their investment... By level 11, you require just about every person in the United States to become a recruit, and by level 13, you've exceeded the Earth's population! The larger the initial group of people, the less levels needed until the pyramid collapses.

In a product based pyramid scheme, it's the same idea, except that it's masked as a "sales" opportunity, usually of a bogus product:
  • A distributor recruits 6 salespeople who each pay $100 for a starter kit of products to sell.
  • The distributor gets 10 percent of each starter kit that's sold.
  • The distributor also gets a cut of 10 percent of each product that any of the recruits sell (including additional starter kits).
  • The recruits are told that the fastest way to make money isn't by selling products, but by recruiting more people to buy starter kits (sound familiar yet?)
  • The people at the top of the pyramid get commissions from everyone in their downline (the people below them in the pyramid).
Usually, the products have such a low margin, that it's nearly impossible to make a profit without getting more recruits... and we we know what happens then. By the time you're at the 12th level of the pyramid, you need to recruit 2 billion people so that everyone can make back their money. At the ninth level, you'd need 13 billion people... which is almost twice the population of the Earth.

Now, take a light break before we get into the mathematical proof...

Michael Scott from The Office gets himself into a pyramid scheme, and, as usual, hilarity ensues:



The folks over a FraudSquad have made a short video to help explain pyramid schemes:

Mathematical Proof that Pyramid Schemes Are A Scam

For simplicity, assume there is one person on top of the pyramid and this person asks for a fixed amount of money, say $1, to a second person, with the promise that if he convinces two more people to join and pay the entrance fee of $1, he will get $2 which would double up the initial investment.

At this point the first two people have made $1 dollar each. The other two people have to recruit two people each in order to double up their money. Now, we're at the fourth level of the pyramid, where 1+1+2+4=8 people are involved in the scheme.

As the pyramid grows and more levels are added, the number of people involved increases geometrically, so that at level n there will be 1+1+2+...+2n-2 persons in the scheme, and the bottom 2n-2 have to recruit 2n-1 new people in order to receive money. For example, when n = 34 (ie, there are 34 levels in the pyramid), the number of people invovled is 234-1 or 8,589,934,592 people, which again, is larger than the population on Earth (I chose n = 34 levels to illustrate that point).

This is what makes the scheme fraudulent: since the amount of people involved increases geometrically, the pyramid collapses because there are no more people to recruit and the people at the bottom of the pyramid all lose their initial "investment".

This table shows how many new paying members must be recruited at each level for programs (schemes) that require each new member to recruit 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 new members. (data courtesy http://www.consumerfraudreporting.org/MLM_pyramid.php ).  Red cells indicate the times when it's literally impossible for the scheme to work, as too many people are involved.  Orange indicates the instances where it's theoretically possible, but realistically impossible (since no organizations exist with that kind of magnitude.  Yellow cells indicate that it's possible, but you'd have to be an incredible salesperson to succeed... and be part of a large international organization...


Level
Number of new members each level must recruit to be profitable. (columns indicate the numbers for requirements of recruiting 4, 5, 6, 7, or 8 new members)
4
5
6
7
8
1
4
5
6
7
64
2
16
25
36
49
512
3
64
125
216
343
4096
4
256
625
1,296
2401
32,768
5
1,024
3125
7,776
16,807
262,144
6
4,096
15,625
46,656
117,649
2,097,152
7
16,384
78,125
279,936
823,543
16,777,216
8
65,536
390,625
1,679,616
5,764,801
134,217,728
9
262,144
1,953,125
10,077,696
40,353,607
1,073,741,824
10
1,048,576
9,765,625
60,466,176
282,475,249
8,589,934,592
11
4,194,304
48,828,125
362,797,056
1,977,326,743
68,719,476,736
12
16,777,216
244,140,625
2,176,782,336
13,841,287,201

13
67,108,864
1,220,703,125
13,060,694,016





Pyramid Scheme Statistics:
  • 88 percent of the members will be on the bottom level of most pyramid schemes will lose their investment.
  • In a naked (productless) pyramid scheme, 90.4 percent of people lose their investment.
  • In product-based pyramid schemes, 99.88 percent lose their investment.

What About Multi-Level Marketing Schemes?

Multi-level marketing (MLM) is similar to pyramid schemes in that, to be successful, you have to recruit new members from your network and form a downline. In MLMs, you earn money in two ways: by selling a product, and/or by receiving commissions from the sales of your downline. MLMs, although subject to constant debate, are legal, however, pyramid schemes are not. An example of a popular MLM is Amway Corp.

Even though MLMs are legal, they still provide a terribly low income for most people. Several sources have commented on the income level of specific MLMs or MLMs in general:

  • The Times: "The Government investigation claims to have revealed that just 10 per cent of Amway's agents in Britain make any profit, with less than one in ten selling a single item of the group's products.
  • Scheibeler, a high level "Emerald" Amway member: "UK Justice Norris found in 2008 that out of an IBO [Independent Business Owners] population of 33,000, 'only about 90 made sufficient incomes to cover the costs of actively building their business.' That's a 99.7 percent loss rate for investors."
  • Newsweek: based on Mona Vie's own 2007 income disclosure statement "fewer than 1 percent qualified for commissions and of those, only 10 percent made more than $100 a week."
  • Business Students Focus on Ethics: "In the USA, the average annual income from MLM for 90% MLM members is no more than US $5,000, which is far from being a sufficient means of making a living (San Lian Life Weekly 1998)"
  • USA Today: "While earning potential varies by company and sales ability, DSA says the median annual income for those in direct sales is $2,400."In an October 15, 2010 article, it was stated that documents of a MLM called Fortune reveal that 30 percent of its representatives make no money and that 54 percent of the remaining 70 percent only make $93 a month.

How To Avoid Being Sucked Into A Pyramid Scheme:
  • Be skeptical, be careful, don't let a sales pitch get you so excited that you can't even think straight.
  • Get an unbiased opinion from a family member or friend before jumping in.
  • Research the "investment opportunity", make sure the company is legitimate.  Verify the claims - check the organizations track record.
  • Make sure you fully understand the business strategy. Don't jump in because it sounds too good to be true, because it probably is too good to be true.

The Ironic Conclusion

Pyramid schemes are a scam, plain and simple. Multi-level marketing schemes are barely legal, and offer very little return for their required investment of cash and time.
So, did you find this article helped to improve your understanding of pyramid schemes? If so, do your friends and family a favor by sharing this information with at least ten of them. Then ask each of them to share it with ten more people, and suggest they tell each of them to share it with ten more, and . . . .



References:

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